Modelo de predicción de la deserción universitaria mediante analítica de datos: Estrategia para la sustentabilidad

Translated title of the contribution: Prediction model of university dropout through data analytics: Strategy for sustainability

Laura Guerra, Dulce Rivero, Alexander Ortiz, Eleazar Diaz, Santiago Quishpe

Research output: Contribution to journalArticlepeer-review

2 Scopus citations

Abstract

Data analytics enables organizations to make timely and sound decisions to stay or grow in their markets. Educational institutions must retain their students, because without them the academy does not make sense. This research aims to develop a prototype of a predictive model for university dropout from the evaluation of five data analytics algorithms (KNN, decision tree, random forest, SVM and neural networks), considering the independent variables, characteristics grouped as personal-cognitive, academic-organizational and socioeconomic. It is an applied research, with a mixed focus and where the survey technique and the KDD data mining methodology were applied. The resulting model is the one that is based on neural networks and provides an accuracy of 92%, precision of 90% and f1 of 90%, transforming it into a robust model with a very low percentage of error.

Translated title of the contributionPrediction model of university dropout through data analytics: Strategy for sustainability
Original languageSpanish
Pages (from-to)38-47
Number of pages10
JournalRISTI - Revista Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao
Volume2020
Issue numberE35
StatePublished - Sep 2020

Bibliographical note

Publisher Copyright:
© 2020, Associacao Iberica de Sistemas e Tecnologias de Informacao. All rights reserved.

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